Strongest predictors of Oscar success are in, and Bombshell is lacking


Oscar prognosticators pay specific consideration to the Producers Guild, which selects 10 films for the 12 months. Apart from the above 5 movies, the producers additionally nominated Joker, Marriage Story, Knives Out, Little Ladies and Ford v Ferrari for its annual prime prize, the Darryl F. Zanuck Award.

Producers Guild Awards, now in its 31st 12 months, have a historical past of forecasting the Academy Awards. In 21 out of the final 30 years, the PGA winner has corresponded with the Academy Awards greatest image winner, together with the final two years: Inexperienced Ebook in 2019, The Form of Water in 2018.

Notably lacking out Wednesday have been The Farewell, Bombshell and The Two Popes. Bombshell, which stars Australian actors Nicole Kidman and Margot Robbie, is a robust contender on the SAG awards, that are as a consequence of be introduced January 20 (AEST). There possibilities for a best-picture nomination aren’t essentially over, however seldom does a couple of movie missed by the Producers Guild make it into the Oscar subject.

The Administrators Guild can be a distinguished Oscars predictor. Since 1948, solely seven occasions has the DGA winner not gone on to take the directing Academy Award. Final 12 months, Alfonso Cuaron received on the DGA Awards earlier than profitable the Oscar, too.

In its 71-year historical past, the Administrators Guild has solely nominated eight ladies for greatest director. The final was Greta Gerwig in 2018 for Woman Hen, however she did not make the reduce this 12 months for Little Ladies.

Whereas feminine filmmakers had a historic 12 months on the field workplace in 2019, they’ve been largely on the skin this awards season. The Globes did not nominate a lady for greatest director, or choose a female-directed film for its 10 greatest image nominees.

Charlize Theron as Megyn Kelly, Nicole Kidman as Gretchen Carlson, and Margot Robbie as the composite character Kayla in Bombshell. 

Charlize Theron as Megyn Kelly, Nicole Kidman as Gretchen Carlson, and Margot Robbie because the composite character Kayla in Bombshell. 

The guild’s nominees for greatest first-time director have been extra balanced. Up for that award are: Mati Diop (Atlantics), Alma Har’el (Honey Boy), Melina Matsoukas (Queen & Slim), Joe Talbot (Final Black Man in San Francisco) and Tyler Nilson and Michael Schwartz (The Peanut Butter Falcon).

The guild nominations arrived simply as Oscar voting was closing, with ballots due on the finish of Wednesday. Nominations will probably be introduced Tuesday (AEST).